Driver
Passenger and freight driving.
Driver is projected to be largely replaced by AI by 2033 (≥70% of tasks); 22% replaced so far. Replaced: Route planning, Ride dispatching. Being replaced: Transport in closed sites, Highway platooning, Urban driving (robotaxi), Highway driving. Next: Loading and handover.
Taxi / Ride-hailing Driver
Replaced (2)
- Route planningreplaced 2016
- Ride dispatchingreplaced 2018
Being replaced (1)
- Urban driving (robotaxi)until 2033
Will be replaced (0)
- None
Long-haul Truck Driver
Replaced (0)
- None
Being replaced (2)
- Highway platooninguntil 2032
- Highway drivinguntil 2034
Will be replaced (1)
- Loading and handover2030–2040
Port / Mine Driver
FAQ
Will AI replace Driver?
Driver is projected to be largely replaced by AI by 2033. As of 2026, 22% of tasks are replaced and the status is “Being replaced”. “Largely replaced” means over 70% of tasks no longer need a human — it does not mean the job disappears entirely.
Which parts of Driver work has AI already replaced?
Already replaced: Route planning, Ride dispatching. Being replaced now: Transport in closed sites, Highway platooning, Urban driving (robotaxi), Highway driving.
Which Driver tasks are hardest for AI to replace?
The last to be replaced: Loading and handover, Highway driving. Not yet affected: Loading and handover.